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Chops here.
Phil Gordon is now contributing columns to ESPN.com.
The Stone Mountain native usually backs up his articles with good stats, and I found this article particularly relevant, as I've encountered a similar scenario (being caught in the middle of raisers & callers as short stack with a good speculative hand) a couple of times in our recent Wicked Chops Poker games. Enjoy.
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No doubt, sometime throughout reading that scenario, Kelly said to himself "I would have doubled down"
"Will the real Bob Murphy please stand up?"
Posted by: Bob Murphy | April 06, 2005 at 12:14 PM
Player A's best hope is that B and C have a low ace. If either B or C have paired, then A has only a roughly one in four chance of winning.
As it was, C had something like a 93% chance of winning after the flop.
Posted by: Colin B | April 06, 2005 at 11:44 AM
hey col b. this hand seems familar. player A obviously thought player C was bluffing and that's why they pushed it all in. player B figured they had best band so they go all in over A and C had to call because of the set. what happens after that is when the game is about luck.
Posted by: the addict | April 06, 2005 at 10:56 AM
Don't sweat it Kelly, you're so bad your kid will probably win it back from you in no time! LOL
"Will the real Bob Murphy please stand up?"
Posted by: Bob Murphy | April 06, 2005 at 10:37 AM
Whoa... looks like I lost this hand!!! There goes my kids' lunch money! NOT AGAIN!!!
Posted by: Brian Kelly | April 05, 2005 at 04:42 PM
Very nice. I'd like comments on the following hand:
Player A is on the button with 485 in chips. Player B is on the big blind with 585. Player C has 820 under the gun. The blinds are 15-30 in the last level of rebuys.
Player A raises preflop from the button three times the big blind with Ad Kc. Player B calls from the big blind with Ks 10c. Player C calls from under the gun (already in for the big blind) with 7s 7c.
Flop is 10s 7d 5d. Player B checks, Player C bets three times the big blind. Player A raises all-in (a raise of 205) with two over cards. Player B raises all-in (reraise of 100 over Player A) with top pair. Player C calls with a set.
Posted by: Colin B | April 05, 2005 at 01:48 PM